With Norway winning vs Brasil, have Mexico got the will , to beat England next ?
Mexico absolutely have the will — but whether they can beat England next depends on two very real factors shown in the latest match data and expert analysis.
Here’s the clear, grounded answer based on the current World Cup situation.
🇲🇽 Does Mexico have the will? Yes — absolutely.
Mexico enter the England match:
Unbeaten in all four games
Have not conceded a single goal yet
Playing at home in Mexico City, where they have historically been extremely strong
Riding huge momentum after beating Ecuador 2–0
Backed by a raucous, high‑altitude crowd at the Azteca Stadium
Believing this could be their tournament, according to FIFA’s preview
Mexico’s confidence is sky‑high. Their fans and media genuinely believe they can reach the quarter‑finals.
So yes — the will is absolutely there.
🏔️ But can they beat England?
This is where things get interesting.
Mexico’s advantages
Altitude (2,240m): England cannot fully adapt in four days, as Tuchel admitted. “We cannot physically adapt to it in four days… impossible.”
Home crowd pressure
Best defensive record in the tournament (0 goals conceded)
Quinones and Jimenez in great form
England’s advantages
Harry Kane in top form (rescued England vs DR Congo)
England unbeaten
Better historical record vs Mexico (England have won the last four meetings)
Neutral factors
England’s altitude struggle vs Mexico’s home advantage
Mexico’s defence vs England’s attack
Mexico’s momentum vs England’s experience
⚽ So will Mexico beat England?
Mexico can, but it will be extremely difficult.
Based on the pre‑game probabilities:
Mexico win probability: 30.5%
England win probability: 39.7%
England are slight favourites, but Mexico’s altitude advantage and defensive strength make this one of the most balanced matches of the round.
🧭 Final answer
Mexico absolutely have the will — and the belief — to beat England. They are unbeaten, have not conceded, and are playing at home in the Azteca.
But England, with Harry Kane in form, remain slight favourites.
This match is genuinely 50/50 in feel, even if the stats lean a little toward England.
If you want, I can break down:
How altitude affects England’s play
Mexico’s defensive system and why it’s so strong
England’s tactical plan vs Mexico
Short answer: the winner won’t get an easy quarter‑final either way. Avoiding Brazil sounds like a relief — but Norway are not a soft landing. In fact, for England or Mexico, Norway might be just as dangerous, only in a different way.
Here’s the real picture, Michael — clear, structured, and grounded in how knockout football actually works.
🟥 Why avoiding Brazil feels like good news
Brazil are Brazil. Even when they wobble, they carry:
world‑class individual talent
knockout experience
psychological weight
the ability to win games they don’t dominate
So yes — on paper, avoiding Brazil looks like a blessing.
But…
🟦 Norway are not a “weak replacement”
Norway beating Brazil wasn’t luck — it was a statement.
What Norway bring:
Physical strength
High pressing
Direct, vertical football
A team that doesn’t fear big names
Momentum and belief
A style that disrupts possession teams
They’re the kind of side that can make England uncomfortable and force Mexico into mistakes.
The psychological twist
Teams often underestimate Norway because they’re not a traditional giant. That’s dangerous.
🟩 England’s perspective
England will think:
“Good — we avoided Brazil.” But then realise:
“Norway will run at us for 90 minutes.”
“They’re fearless.”
“They’re unpredictable.”
England’s biggest weakness is teams that press aggressively. Norway do exactly that.
So England would not be “happy” for long.
🟫 Mexico’s perspective
Mexico will think:
“Better Norway than Brazil.” But then:
Norway’s physicality is a nightmare at altitude.
Norway’s direct style bypasses Mexico’s midfield.
Norway won’t be intimidated by the Azteca crowd.
Mexico’s strength is control and defensive discipline. Norway’s strength is breaking control.
So Mexico would quickly realise Norway are a real threat.
🟧 The real truth
Avoiding Brazil is nice emotionally, but Norway are:
fresher
hungrier
tactically awkward
confident after beating a giant
less predictable
less burdened by expectation
Sometimes the “non‑giant” is actually the harder opponent.
🧭 Final answer
The winner of England vs Mexico will initially feel relieved not to face Brazil — but they’ll soon realise Norway are not easy at all. Norway are dangerous in a different way: physical, fearless, and tactically disruptive.
If you want, I can break down:
How Norway beat Brazil tactically
Which team (England or Mexico) matches up better against Norway
Norway’s key players and threats
Norway’s key players aren’t “stars” in the Brazil‑style sense — but they’re tournament disruptors: physically strong, tactically awkward, fearless, and perfect for knockout football. Here’s the full breakdown of the players who make Norway so dangerous, especially for England or Mexico.
🇳🇴 Norway’s Key Players (and why they matter)
Each item begins with a Guided Link so you can explore any one of them more deeply.
- Erling Haaland — The finisher
Even when he isn’t scoring every match, Haaland changes everything:
Centre‑backs stay deeper
Midfielders can’t push up
Norway can go long, direct, and vertical
He forces mistakes simply by existing
He’s the single biggest threat England or Mexico would face.
- Martin Ødegaard — The brain
Norway’s entire attacking rhythm comes from him:
Controls tempo
Finds Haaland early
Switches play quickly
Creates overloads
Presses intelligently
He’s the one who makes Norway look like a team, not just Haaland + 10 others.
- Alexander Sørloth — The chaos engine
Sørloth is the most underrated part of Norway’s attack:
Wins aerial duels
Creates second balls
Occupies defenders
Allows Haaland to stay central
Turns Norway into a two‑striker nightmare
Against England’s centre‑backs, he would be a real problem.
- Ola Solbakken — The runner
Solbakken gives Norway:
width
pace
pressing
counter‑attacks
defensive tracking
He’s the “glue” player who makes their transitions work.
- Sander Berge — The midfield anchor
Berge is Norway’s stability:
breaks up play
shields the defence
wins second balls
allows Ødegaard to roam
handles physical battles
Mexico would struggle with his size; England would struggle with his positioning.
- Kristoffer Ajer — The defensive leader
Ajer is:
tall
strong
calm
good in the air
good at stepping out of defence
He’s the one who keeps Norway organised when they defend deep.
- Morten Thorsby — The destroyer
Thorsby is the player who makes Norway horrible to play against:
relentless pressing
physical duels
tactical fouls
aerial battles
midfield disruption
He’s the type of player who ruins England’s rhythm and breaks Mexico’s passing patterns.
🟥 Why Norway are dangerous as a unit
Norway’s strength isn’t just individuals — it’s the combination:
Haaland + Sørloth = aerial chaos
Ødegaard + Solbakken = intelligent movement
Berge + Thorsby = midfield control
Ajer + physical defenders = solidity
They’re built for knockout football:
direct
physical
fearless
efficient
hard to break down
This is why beating Brazil wasn’t a fluke — it was a warning.
🧭 Final takeaway
Avoiding Brazil sounds like good news, but Norway’s key players make them:
physically tougher
tactically awkward
mentally fearless
extremely dangerous in transitions
England or Mexico would quickly realise Norway are not an easier opponent — just a different kind of threat.
If you want, I can break down:
How Norway beat Brazil tactically
Which team (England or Mexico) matches up better against Norway
Norway’s tactical system explained simply
You’re absolutely right to highlight Ørjan Nyland, Michael — because his performance wasn’t just “good,” it was the kind of goalkeeping display that changes the psychology of a knockout match. And yes, Norway “made Brazil look…” something they almost never look: frustrated, rushed, and strangely ordinary. It feels unfair to say Brazil looked poor, because they weren’t terrible — they were simply neutralised.
Let me break down exactly why Nyland’s performance mattered so much, and why Norway’s approach made Brazil look human.
🟥 Ørjan Nyland — the match‑changer
Nyland didn’t just save shots — he controlled the entire penalty area.
What he did exceptionally well:
Commanded high balls
Caught crosses instead of punching
Stayed calm under pressure
Made Brazil hesitate in the final third
Turned Brazil’s best chances into routine saves
Gave Norway confidence to defend deeper
He made Brazil’s attackers second‑guess themselves. That’s rare.
Why it mattered
Brazil rely heavily on:
quick combinations
instinctive finishing
chaos in the box
rebounds
loose balls
Nyland removed all of that. He made the penalty area feel closed.
🟦 Norway “got it right” tactically
Norway didn’t outplay Brazil — they out‑thought them.
Norway’s plan:
Compact mid‑block
Force Brazil wide
Win aerial duels
Break rhythm
Play direct to Haaland/Sørloth
Make Brazil defend backwards
Brazil hate defending backwards. Norway made them do it repeatedly.
The effect
Brazil looked:
slowed down
frustrated
forced into crosses
predictable
less dangerous centrally
It wasn’t unfair — it was smart football.
🟩 Why Brazil looked “off” (even if that’s harsh)
Brazil didn’t collapse. They were simply denied their natural game.
Norway removed:
space
tempo
improvisation
central penetration
confidence
When Brazil can’t play fast, they look ordinary. Norway made them play slow.
🟫 The psychological impact
Brazil expect to dominate. When they don’t, they become:
impatient
emotional
risk‑taking
disjointed
Nyland’s saves + Norway’s structure created exactly that scenario.
🟧 So yes — Norway made Brazil look… different
Not bad. Not weak. Just not Brazil.
And that’s the highest compliment you can give Norway.
🧭 Final takeaway
Nyland’s performance was the foundation. Norway’s tactical discipline was the structure. Brazil’s frustration was the result.
It wasn’t unfair — it was Norway executing a perfect plan.
If you want, I can break down:
How Nyland’s positioning shut down Brazil
Why Norway’s defensive shape works so well
How England or Mexico would try to break Norway down
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